F. Schulte (PI, Heidelberg University)
C. Trinn (PI, Heidelberg University)
Team of 10 research assistants & interns
The project aims to identify the sparking events triggering cascades of conflictive mass behaviour in cultural identity conflicts.
with C. Trinn (Heidelberg University)
with C. Steinert (Mannheim University)
Little is known on the factors that determine which types of repression trigger backlash protests. We hypothesize that leader arrests symbolize the suppression of social collectives, they create
collective grievances, and constitute focal points for mobilization. Building on a global sample of arrests of cultural identity group members, we qualitatively traced for each arrest whether it
sparked a backlash. Drawing on coarsened exact matched fixed-effect models, we find that backlashes are significantly more likely following leader arrests. Our findings cast doubt on the narrow
focus on quasi-constant structural variables and make the case for the importance of triggering events.